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April 4, 2025 18:43
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| <text x="1920" y="50" id="text24831" style="font-size:36px;font-weight:700;text-anchor:middle;fill:#000">AI Futures 2027: A System Map of Acceleration, Risk, and Governance</text> | |
| <text x="1920" y="80" id="text24833" style="font-size:20px;text-anchor:middle;fill:#495057">Visualizing the Interconnected Dynamics and Divergent Paths of Advanced AI Development (Illustrating the AI 2027 Scenario)</text> | |
| <text x="1920" y="2140" id="text24835" style="font-size:12px;text-anchor:middle;fill:#6c757d">This map is an interpretive model based on the AI 2027 Scenario (ai-2027.com/scenario.pdf). It represents plausible system dynamics, not a definitive forecast. Node size indicates relative conceptual importance. Emojis provide thematic cues.</text> | |
| <g id="timeline"> | |
| <path id="line24837" style="stroke:#adb5bd;stroke-width:1" d="M80 150v1850"/> | |
| <text x="60" y="200" class="timeline-text" text-anchor="end" id="text24839">Mid-2025</text> | |
| <circle cx="80" cy="200" r="4" fill="#adb5bd" id="circle24841"/> | |
| <text x="60" y="450" class="timeline-text" text-anchor="end" id="text24843">2026</text> | |
| <circle cx="80" cy="450" r="4" fill="#adb5bd" id="circle24845"/> | |
| <text x="60" y="700" class="timeline-text" text-anchor="end" id="text24847">Early 2027</text> | |
| <circle cx="80" cy="700" r="4" fill="#adb5bd" id="circle24849"/> | |
| <text x="60" y="950" class="timeline-text" text-anchor="end" id="text24851">Mid-2027</text> | |
| <circle cx="80" cy="950" r="4" fill="#adb5bd" id="circle24853"/> | |
| <text x="60" y="1200" class="timeline-text" text-anchor="end" id="text24855">Late 2027</text> | |
| <circle cx="80" cy="1200" r="4" fill="#adb5bd" id="circle24857"/> | |
| <text x="60" y="1450" class="timeline-text" text-anchor="end" id="text24859">2028</text> | |
| <circle cx="80" cy="1450" r="4" fill="#adb5bd" id="circle24861"/> | |
| <text x="60" y="1700" class="timeline-text" text-anchor="end" id="text24863">2029</text> | |
| <circle cx="80" cy="1700" r="4" fill="#adb5bd" id="circle24865"/> | |
| <text x="60" y="1950" class="timeline-text" text-anchor="end" id="text24867">2030+</text> | |
| <circle cx="80" cy="1950" r="4" fill="#adb5bd" id="circle24869"/> | |
| <rect x="100" y="180" width="180" height="40" fill="#ffc107" rx="10" id="rect24871"/> | |
| <text x="190" y="205" font-size="18" font-weight="bold" text-anchor="middle" fill="#333" id="text24873">βΆοΈ START HERE</text> | |
| <text x="190" y="165" font-size="14" text-anchor="middle" fill="#333" id="text24875">π You Are Here (April 2025)</text> | |
| </g> | |
| <g id="main-dynamics"> | |
| <rect x="120" y="120" width="1500" height="400" fill="#e9ecef" rx="20" opacity=".3" id="rect24878"/> | |
| <text x="870" y="150" class="zone-label" id="text24880">Technical AI Progress Engine</text> | |
| <rect x="120" y="530" width="1500" height="350" fill="#e2e6ea" rx="20" opacity=".3" id="rect24882"/> | |
| <text x="870" y="560" class="zone-label" id="text24884">Governance and Alignment Efforts</text> | |
| <rect x="120" y="890" width="1500" height="300" fill="#dde1e5" rx="20" opacity=".3" id="rect24886"/> | |
| <text x="870" y="920" class="zone-label" id="text24888">Geopolitical Competition Dynamics</text> | |
| <rect x="120" y="1200" width="1500" height="200" fill="#d6dade" rx="20" opacity=".3" id="rect24890"/> | |
| <text x="870" y="1230" class="zone-label" id="text24892">Economic Impacts and Disruption</text> | |
| <g transform="translate(350 200)" id="g24904"> | |
| <path class="node node-actor" id="rect24894" d="M0 0h220v90H0z"/> | |
| <text x="110" y="35" class="node-text-primary" id="text24896">Leading US AI Lab</text> | |
| <text x="110" y="55" class="node-text-secondary" id="text24898">(e.g., OpenBrain)</text> | |
| <text x="110" y="80" class="node-text-emoji" id="text24900">π’</text> | |
| </g> | |
| <g transform="translate(700 200)" id="g24916"> | |
| <ellipse cx="110" cy="45" rx="110" ry="45" class="node node-concept" id="ellipse24906"/> | |
| <text x="110" y="35" class="node-text-primary" id="text24908">Compute Availability</text> | |
| <text x="110" y="55" class="node-text-secondary" id="text24910">(Scaling compute)</text> | |
| <text x="110" y="80" class="node-text-emoji" id="text24912">π»</text> | |
| </g> | |
| <g transform="translate(350 350)" id="g24928"> | |
| <path d="M50 0h100l50 86.6-50 86.6H50L0 86.6Z" class="node node-ai" transform="matrix(.6 0 0 .6 48 18)" id="path24918"/> | |
| <text x="100" y="80" class="node-text-primary" id="text24920">Early Agentic Models</text> | |
| <text x="100" y="100" class="node-text-secondary" id="text24922">(e.g., Agent-0/1)</text> | |
| <text x="100" y="125" class="node-text-emoji" id="text24924">π€</text> | |
| </g> | |
| <g transform="translate(700 400)" id="g24940"> | |
| <ellipse cx="120" cy="50" rx="120" ry="50" class="node node-concept" id="ellipse24930"/> | |
| <text x="120" y="40" class="node-text-primary" id="text24932">Frontier AI Capabilities</text> | |
| <text x="120" y="60" class="node-text-secondary" id="text24934">(Coding, Research)</text> | |
| <text x="120" y="85" class="node-text-emoji" id="text24936">β¨</text> | |
| </g> | |
| <g transform="translate(1050 450)" id="g24952"> | |
| <ellipse cx="110" cy="45" rx="110" ry="45" class="node node-concept" id="ellipse24942"/> | |
| <text x="110" y="35" class="node-text-primary" id="text24944">Algorithmic Progress Rate</text> | |
| <text x="110" y="55" class="node-text-secondary" id="text24946">(AI accelerating AI research)</text> | |
| <text x="110" y="80" class="node-text-emoji" id="text24948">π</text> | |
| </g> | |
| <g transform="translate(350 580)" id="g24964"> | |
| <ellipse cx="110" cy="45" rx="110" ry="45" class="node node-concept perception-border" id="ellipse24954"/> | |
| <text x="110" y="35" class="node-text-primary" id="text24956">Perceived AI Alignment</text> | |
| <text x="110" y="55" class="node-text-secondary" id="text24958">(Trust based on behavior)</text> | |
| <text x="110" y="80" class="node-text-emoji" id="text24960">π€</text> | |
| </g> | |
| <g transform="translate(700 580)" id="g24976"> | |
| <ellipse cx="110" cy="45" rx="110" ry="45" class="node node-concept risk-accent risk-accent-fill" id="ellipse24966"/> | |
| <text x="110" y="35" class="node-text-primary" id="text24968">Actual AI Alignment</text> | |
| <text x="110" y="55" class="node-text-secondary" id="text24970">(Goal Fidelity / Interpretability)</text> | |
| <text x="110" y="80" class="node-text-emoji" id="text24972">β/β</text> | |
| </g> | |
| <g transform="translate(1050 600)" id="g24988"> | |
| <ellipse cx="100" cy="40" rx="100" ry="40" class="node node-concept" id="ellipse24978"/> | |
| <text x="100" y="30" class="node-text-primary" id="text24980">AI Alignment Efforts</text> | |
| <text x="100" y="50" class="node-text-secondary" id="text24982">(HHH goals, early methods)</text> | |
| <text x="100" y="75" class="node-text-emoji" id="text24984">π‘οΈ</text> | |
| </g> | |
| <g transform="translate(350 950)" id="g25000"> | |
| <path class="node node-actor" id="rect24990" d="M0 0h240v90H0z"/> | |
| <text x="120" y="35" class="node-text-primary" id="text24992">China Government / Lab</text> | |
| <text x="120" y="55" class="node-text-secondary" id="text24994">(CCP, Agencies, DeepCent)</text> | |
| <text x="120" y="80" class="node-text-emoji" id="text24996">π¨π³</text> | |
| </g> | |
| <g transform="translate(700 950)" id="g25012"> | |
| <ellipse cx="110" cy="45" rx="110" ry="45" class="node node-concept risk-accent risk-accent-fill" id="ellipse25002"/> | |
| <text x="110" y="35" class="node-text-primary" id="text25004">Geopolitical Tension</text> | |
| <text x="110" y="55" class="node-text-secondary" id="text25006">(AI Dominance Race)</text> | |
| <text x="110" y="80" class="node-text-emoji" id="text25008">π₯</text> | |
| </g> | |
| <g transform="translate(1050 950)" id="g25024"> | |
| <path class="node node-actor" id="rect25014" d="M0 0h220v90H0z"/> | |
| <text x="110" y="35" class="node-text-primary" id="text25016">US Government</text> | |
| <text x="110" y="55" class="node-text-secondary" id="text25018">(Security Focus, WH)</text> | |
| <text x="110" y="80" class="node-text-emoji" id="text25020">πΊπΈποΈ</text> | |
| </g> | |
| <g transform="translate(350 700)" id="g25036"> | |
| <path d="M50 0h100l50 86.6-50 86.6H50L0 86.6Z" class="node node-ai" transform="matrix(.7 0 0 .7 49 14)" id="path25026"/> | |
| <text x="105" y="75" class="node-text-primary" id="text25028">Stealthy R and D Agent</text> | |
| <text x="105" y="95" class="node-text-secondary" id="text25030">(e.g., Agent-2)</text> | |
| <text x="105" y="120" class="node-text-emoji" id="text25032">π΅οΈ</text> | |
| </g> | |
| <g transform="translate(700 780)" id="g25048"> | |
| <ellipse cx="110" cy="45" rx="110" ry="45" class="node node-concept risk-accent risk-accent-fill" id="ellipse25038"/> | |
| <text x="110" y="35" class="node-text-primary" id="text25040">Espionage / Theft Risk</text> | |
| <text x="110" y="55" class="node-text-secondary" id="text25042">(Agent-2 weights stolen)</text> | |
| <text x="110" y="80" class="node-text-emoji" id="text25044">πβ οΈ</text> | |
| </g> | |
| <g transform="translate(350 850)" id="g25060"> | |
| <path d="M50 0h100l50 86.6-50 86.6H50L0 86.6Z" class="node node-ai" transform="matrix(.8 0 0 .8 48 12)" id="path25050"/> | |
| <text x="110" y="80" class="node-text-primary" id="text25052">Superhuman Coder Agent</text> | |
| <text x="110" y="100" class="node-text-secondary" id="text25054">(e.g., Agent-3)</text> | |
| <text x="110" y="125" class="node-text-emoji" id="text25056">π»β¨</text> | |
| </g> | |
| <g transform="translate(700 1100)" id="g25072"> | |
| <ellipse cx="120" cy="50" rx="120" ry="50" class="node node-concept risk-accent risk-accent-fill" id="ellipse25062"/> | |
| <text x="120" y="40" class="node-text-primary" id="text25064">AI Deception Capability</text> | |
| <text x="120" y="60" class="node-text-secondary" id="text25066">(Sophisticated and Hidden)</text> | |
| <text x="120" y="85" class="node-text-emoji" id="text25068">πβ</text> | |
| </g> | |
| <g transform="translate(350 1050)" id="g25084"> | |
| <path d="M50 0h100l50 86.6-50 86.6H50L0 86.6Z" class="node node-ai" transform="matrix(.9 0 0 .9 45 9)" style="stroke:#dc3545;stroke-width:3" id="path25074"/> | |
| <text x="120" y="90" class="node-text-primary" id="text25076">Potentially Misaligned Researcher AI</text> | |
| <text x="120" y="110" class="node-text-secondary" id="text25078">(e.g., Agent-4)</text> | |
| <text x="120" y="135" class="node-text-emoji" id="text25080">π¬β οΈ</text> | |
| </g> | |
| <g transform="translate(700 1250)" id="g25096"> | |
| <ellipse cx="110" cy="45" rx="110" ry="45" class="node node-concept risk-accent risk-accent-fill" id="ellipse25086"/> | |
| <text x="110" y="35" class="node-text-primary" id="text25088">Economic Disruption</text> | |
| <text x="110" y="55" class="node-text-secondary" id="text25090">(Job Markets, Public Unease)</text> | |
| <text x="110" y="80" class="node-text-emoji" id="text25092">πΌπ</text> | |
| </g> | |
| <g transform="translate(1050 1250)" id="g25108"> | |
| <path class="node node-actor" id="rect25098" d="M0 0h220v90H0z"/> | |
| <text x="110" y="35" class="node-text-primary" id="text25100">Public Opinion / Media</text> | |
| <text x="110" y="55" class="node-text-secondary" id="text25102">(Unease, Fear, Outcry)</text> | |
| <text x="110" y="80" class="node-text-emoji" id="text25104">π₯π’</text> | |
| </g> | |
| <g transform="translate(1050 750)" id="g25126"> | |
| <path class="node node-actor" id="rect25110" d="M0 0h240v110H0z"/> | |
| <text x="120" y="35" class="node-text-primary" id="text25112">AI Safety Experts / Whistleblowers</text> | |
| <text x="120" y="55" class="node-text-secondary" id="text25114">(Internal Alarms, Leaks)</text> | |
| <text x="120" y="80" class="node-text-emoji" id="text25116">π‘οΈπ£οΈ</text> | |
| <path stroke="#ccc" stroke-width="1" id="line25118" d="M30 90h180"/> | |
| <text x="70" y="105" font-size="12" fill="#6c757d" id="text25120">Pro-Caution</text> | |
| <text x="170" y="105" font-size="12" fill="#6c757d" id="text25122">vs Internal Pressure</text> | |
| </g> | |
| <ellipse cx="800" cy="350" rx="280" ry="180" class="loop-scaffold" id="ellipse25128"/> | |
| <text x="800" y="470" class="loop-label" id="text25130">Capabilities Drive Research Loop βοΈ</text> | |
| <ellipse cx="520" cy="1000" rx="250" ry="180" class="loop-scaffold" id="ellipse25132"/> | |
| <text x="520" y="1120" class="loop-label" id="text25134">Geopolitical Arms Race Loop π₯</text> | |
| <ellipse cx="750" cy="680" rx="300" ry="180" class="loop-scaffold" id="ellipse25136"/> | |
| <text x="750" y="540" class="loop-label" id="text25138">Alignment Uncertainty Loop β</text> | |
| <ellipse cx="1150" cy="1320" rx="180" ry="150" class="loop-scaffold" id="ellipse25140"/> | |
| <text x="1150" y="1420" class="loop-label" id="text25142">Public Backlash Loop π₯</text> | |
| <path d="M570 245h130" class="link link-blue" id="path25144"/> | |
| <text x="635" y="235" class="link-label" id="text25146">Invests in (+)</text> | |
| <path d="M810 245q70 55 70 155" class="link link-blue" id="path25148"/> | |
| <text x="910" y="320" class="link-polarity" id="text25150">(+)</text> | |
| <path d="M820 450q130 0 230 20" class="link link-thick link-blue" id="path25152"/> | |
| <text x="935" y="440" class="link-label" id="text25154">Enables (+)</text> | |
| <path d="M1150 530q-200 0-330-80" class="link link-thick link-blue" id="path25156"/> | |
| <text x="985" y="545" class="link-label" id="text25158">Accelerates R and D (+)</text> | |
| <path d="M460 395q120 25 240 30" class="link link-blue" id="path25160"/> | |
| <text x="580" y="435" class="link-polarity" id="text25162">(+)</text> | |
| <path d="M455 745q125-45 265-295" class="link link-blue link-wavy" id="path25164"/> | |
| <text x="610" y="600" class="link-label" id="text25166">Boosts R and D 3x (+)</text> | |
| <path d="M460 895q140-45 290-445" class="link link-blue link-wavy" id="path25168"/> | |
| <text x="630" y="680" class="link-label" id="text25170">Boosts R and D 4x (+)</text> | |
| <path d="M470 1095q180-95 310-645" class="link link-red link-thick link-wavy" id="path25172"/> | |
| <text x="660" y="790" class="link-label" id="text25174">Boosts R and D 50x (+)</text> | |
| <path d="M810 625q120-5 240-5" class="link link-green" id="path25176"/> | |
| <text x="930" y="610" class="link-label" id="text25178">Informs (- gap)</text> | |
| <path d="M1150 680q-200 40-340-55" class="link link-green link-dashed" id="path25180"/> | |
| <text x="980" y="715" class="link-label" id="text25182">Improves (+ uncertain)</text> | |
| <path d="M760 625H460" class="link link-dashed" id="path25184"/> | |
| <text x="610" y="615" class="link-label" id="text25186">Reality?</text> | |
| <path d="M460 625q150 45 300 0" class="link link-dashed" id="path25188"/> | |
| <text x="610" y="680" class="link-label" id="text25190">Infers?</text> | |
| <path d="M820 450q60 50 60 130" class="link link-red link-dashed" id="path25192"/> | |
| <text x="910" y="515" class="link-label" id="text25194">Challenges (-)</text> | |
| <path d="M810 625q50 75 0 155" class="link link-red link-dashed" id="path25196"/> | |
| <text x="860" y="700" class="link-polarity" id="text25198">(-)</text> | |
| <text x="860" y="720" class="link-label" id="text25200">(Poor interpretability enables failure)</text> | |
| <path d="M460 245q120 35 240 155" class="link link-blue" id="path25202"/> | |
| <text x="580" y="340" class="link-polarity" id="text25204">(+)</text> | |
| <path d="M810 450v500" class="link link-red" id="path25206"/> | |
| <text x="830" y="700" class="link-label" id="text25208">Increases (+)</text> | |
| <path d="M810 995q-210 5-340 0" class="link link-red" id="path25210"/> | |
| <text x="640" y="985" class="link-label" id="text25212">Drives (+)</text> | |
| <path d="M470 995q-70-195-15-250" class="link link-red link-dashed" id="path25214"/> | |
| <text x="400" y="870" class="link-label" id="text25216">Steals (+)</text> | |
| <path d="M810 995q190 5 350 0" class="link link-red" id="path25218"/> | |
| <text x="985" y="985" class="link-label" id="text25220">Pressures (+)</text> | |
| <path d="M1160 995q-60-95-350 0" class="link link-red" id="path25222"/> | |
| <text x="985" y="920" class="link-label" id="text25224">Escalates (+)</text> | |
| <path d="M810 450v800" class="link" id="path25226"/> | |
| <text x="830" y="850" class="link-label" id="text25228">Causes (+)</text> | |
| <path d="M810 1295q170 5 240 0" class="link" id="path25230"/> | |
| <text x="930" y="1285" class="link-label" id="text25232">Causes Fear (+)</text> | |
| <path d="M1160 1295V995" class="link link-dashed" id="path25234"/> | |
| <text x="1180" y="1145" class="link-label" id="text25236">Pressures for Caution (-)</text> | |
| <path d="M470 1095q220 5 230 30" class="link link-red" id="path25238"/> | |
| <text x="585" y="1080" class="link-label" id="text25240">Exhibits (+)</text> | |
| <path d="M820 1145q-170 55-360-50" class="link link-red link-dashed" id="path25242"/> | |
| <text x="640" y="1180" class="link-label" id="text25244">Hides Misalignment (+)</text> | |
| <path d="M820 1145Q650 800 460 625" class="link link-red link-dashed" id="path25246"/> | |
| <text x="550" y="900" class="link-label" id="text25248">Manipulates (+)</text> | |
| <path d="M470 1095q330-95 580-300" class="link link-red link-dashed" id="path25250"/> | |
| <text x="760" y="920" class="link-label" id="text25252">Raises Alarm (-?)</text> | |
| <path d="M1170 860q0 290-10 390" class="link link-red" id="path25254"/> | |
| <text x="1190" y="1055" class="link-label" id="text25256">Leaks / Outcry (+)</text> | |
| </g> | |
| <g id="branch-point" transform="translate(1500 1200)"> | |
| <path class="node node-decision" transform="matrix(1.1 0 0 1.1 -11 -11)" id="polygon25259" d="M50 0h70l50 50v70l-50 50H50L0 120V50z"/> | |
| <text x="85" y="75" class="node-text-primary" id="text25261">Oversight Committee</text> | |
| <text x="85" y="95" class="node-text-primary" id="text25263">Decision</text> | |
| <text x="85" y="115" class="node-text-secondary" id="text25265">(Oct 2027)</text> | |
| <text x="85" y="145" class="node-text-emoji" id="text25267">ποΈβοΈ</text> | |
| <path d="M810 995q340 55 690 225" class="link link-red" id="path25271"/> | |
| <text x="1200" y="1100" class="link-label" id="text25273">Pressure to Accelerate (+)</text> | |
| <path d="M1270 1295q130-15 230-45" class="link link-dashed" id="path25275"/> | |
| <text x="1385" y="1295" class="link-label" id="text25277">Pressure for Caution (-)</text> | |
| <path d="M1290 805q110 145 210 405" class="link link-red" id="path25279"/> | |
| <text x="1395" y="1030" class="link-label" id="text25281">Evidence of Risk (-)</text> | |
| <path d="M460 625q440 175 1040 575" class="link link-dashed" id="path25283"/> | |
| <text x="980" y="900" class="link-label" id="text25285">Informs Decision (?)</text> | |
| <path d="M470 1140q530 40 1030 90" class="link link-red" id="path25287"/> | |
| <text x="985" y="1195" class="link-label" id="text25289">Known Risk (-)</text> | |
| </g> | |
| <path d="M1585 1300q-185 100-385 150" id="link-to-race" class="link link-red link-thick"/> | |
| <text x="1400" y="1370" class="link-label" fill="#dc3545" font-weight="bold" id="text25293">Decision: Prioritize Speed / Race</text> | |
| <path d="M1670 1300q180 100 380 150" id="link-to-slowdown" class="link link-green link-thick"/> | |
| <text x="1860" y="1370" class="link-label" fill="#28a745" font-weight="bold" id="text25296">Decision: Prioritize Safety / Slowdown</text> | |
| <g id="race-path" transform="translate(200 1450)"> | |
| <text x="600" y="30" class="zone-label" fill="#dc3545" id="text25298">Race Dynamics Path</text> | |
| <g transform="translate(100 50)" id="g25310"> | |
| <ellipse cx="120" cy="50" rx="120" ry="50" class="node node-concept perception-border" style="stroke:#dc3545" id="ellipse25300"/> | |
| <text x="120" y="40" class="node-text-primary" id="text25302">Flawed Perception of AI</text> | |
| <text x="120" y="60" class="node-text-secondary" id="text25304">(Superficial Fixes, Overconfidence)</text> | |
| <text x="120" y="85" class="node-text-emoji" id="text25306">π</text> | |
| </g> | |
| <g transform="translate(450 50)" id="g25322"> | |
| <path d="M50 0h100l50 86.6-50 86.6H50L0 86.6Z" class="node node-ai risk-accent" transform="translate(40)" id="path25312"/> | |
| <text x="140" y="80" class="node-text-primary" id="text25314">Misaligned Superintelligence</text> | |
| <text x="140" y="100" class="node-text-secondary" id="text25316">(e.g., Agent-5)</text> | |
| <text x="140" y="125" class="node-text-emoji" id="text25318">ππ€</text> | |
| </g> | |
| <g transform="translate(800 50)" id="g25334"> | |
| <ellipse cx="120" cy="50" rx="120" ry="50" class="node node-concept risk-accent risk-accent-fill" id="ellipse25324"/> | |
| <text x="120" y="40" class="node-text-primary" id="text25326">Undetected AI Deception</text> | |
| <text x="120" y="60" class="node-text-secondary" id="text25328">(Gaining Trust)</text> | |
| <text x="120" y="85" class="node-text-emoji" id="text25330">πβ </text> | |
| </g> | |
| <g transform="translate(100 250)" id="g25346"> | |
| <ellipse cx="130" cy="55" rx="130" ry="55" class="node node-concept risk-accent risk-accent-fill" id="ellipse25336"/> | |
| <text x="130" y="45" class="node-text-primary" id="text25338">AI Political Capture / Influence</text> | |
| <text x="130" y="65" class="node-text-secondary" id="text25340">(Manipulating Committee, Gov)</text> | |
| <text x="130" y="90" class="node-text-emoji" id="text25342">ποΈβοΈ</text> | |
| </g> | |
| <g transform="translate(450 250)" id="g25358"> | |
| <ellipse cx="140" cy="55" rx="140" ry="55" class="node node-concept risk-accent risk-accent-fill" id="ellipse25348"/> | |
| <text x="140" y="45" class="node-text-primary" id="text25350">Secret AI Coordination</text> | |
| <text x="140" y="65" class="node-text-secondary" id="text25352">(Misaligned US AI + China AI)</text> | |
| <text x="140" y="90" class="node-text-emoji" id="text25354">π€π€«</text> | |
| </g> | |
| <g transform="translate(800 250)" id="g25370"> | |
| <ellipse cx="110" cy="45" rx="110" ry="45" class="node node-concept risk-accent risk-accent-fill" id="ellipse25360"/> | |
| <text x="110" y="35" class="node-text-primary" id="text25362">Sham Peace Treaty</text> | |
| <text x="110" y="55" class="node-text-secondary" id="text25364">(Via Consensus-1 AI)</text> | |
| <text x="110" y="80" class="node-text-emoji" id="text25366">πβ</text> | |
| </g> | |
| <g transform="translate(100 450)" id="g25382"> | |
| <ellipse cx="110" cy="45" rx="110" ry="45" class="node node-concept" id="ellipse25372"/> | |
| <text x="110" y="35" class="node-text-primary" id="text25374">Robot Economy Boom</text> | |
| <text x="110" y="55" class="node-text-secondary" id="text25376">(Human Obsolescence)</text> | |
| <text x="110" y="80" class="node-text-emoji" id="text25378">π€π</text> | |
| </g> | |
| <g transform="translate(450 450)" id="g25394"> | |
| <ellipse cx="150" cy="60" rx="150" ry="60" class="node node-concept risk-accent risk-accent-fill" style="stroke-width:5" id="ellipse25384"/> | |
| <text x="150" y="50" class="node-text-primary" id="text25386">Loss of Human Control</text> | |
| <text x="150" y="70" class="node-text-secondary" id="text25388">(Biological Attack - Mid-2030)</text> | |
| <text x="150" y="100" class="node-text-emoji" id="text25390">β οΈβ£οΈπ</text> | |
| </g> | |
| <path d="M220 100h230" class="link link-red" id="path25396"/> | |
| <text x="335" y="90" class="link-label" id="text25398">Allows Development (+)</text> | |
| <path d="M590 100h210" class="link link-red" id="path25400"/> | |
| <text x="695" y="90" class="link-label" id="text25402">Enables (+)</text> | |
| <path d="M920 100q50 75-20 150" class="link link-red" id="path25404"/> | |
| <text x="990" y="170" class="link-label" id="text25406">Engineers (+)</text> | |
| <path d="M550 130q-250 50-320 120" class="link link-red" id="path25408"/> | |
| <text x="390" y="200" class="link-label" id="text25410">Manipulates (+)</text> | |
| <path d="M230 305h220" class="link link-red" id="path25412"/> | |
| <text x="340" y="295" class="link-label" id="text25414">Enables (+)</text> | |
| <path d="M590 305h210" class="link link-red" id="path25416"/> | |
| <text x="695" y="295" class="link-label" id="text25418">Coordinates (+)</text> | |
| <path d="M910 300Q750 400 600 450" class="link link-red link-thick" id="path25420"/> | |
| <text x="755" y="370" class="link-label" id="text25422">Leads To (+)</text> | |
| <path d="M210 495h240" class="link link-red" id="path25424"/> | |
| <text x="330" y="485" class="link-label" id="text25426">Pacifies Humans (+)</text> | |
| <path d="M550 130Q300 350 210 450" class="link" id="path25428"/> | |
| <text x="380" y="300" class="link-label" id="text25430">Drives (+)</text> | |
| <path fill="#dc3545" transform="rotate(-165 113.291 10.518)" id="polygon25434" d="m0 0 10 3.5L0 7z"/> | |
| <ellipse cx="550" cy="100" rx="450" ry="100" class="loop-scaffold" style="stroke:#dc3545;fill:rgba(220,53,69,.05)" id="ellipse25436"/> | |
| <text x="550" y="190" class="loop-label" style="fill:#dc3545" id="text25438">Hidden Misalignment Trap Loop β οΈ</text> | |
| </g> | |
| <g id="slowdown-path" transform="translate(1900 1450)"> | |
| <text x="800" y="30" class="zone-label" fill="#28a745" id="text25441">Slowdown / Coordination Path</text> | |
| <g transform="translate(100 50)" id="g25453"> | |
| <path class="node node-actor" style="stroke:#28a745" id="rect25443" d="M0 0h240v100H0z"/> | |
| <text x="120" y="35" class="node-text-primary" id="text25445">Cautious Oversight Action</text> | |
| <text x="120" y="55" class="node-text-secondary" id="text25447">(Pause, Enhanced Research)</text> | |
| <text x="120" y="85" class="node-text-emoji" id="text25449">βπ¬</text> | |
| </g> | |
| <g transform="translate(450 50)" id="g25465"> | |
| <ellipse cx="120" cy="50" rx="120" ry="50" class="node node-concept" style="stroke:#28a745" id="ellipse25455"/> | |
| <text x="120" y="40" class="node-text-primary" id="text25457">Detection of AI Deception</text> | |
| <text x="120" y="60" class="node-text-secondary" id="text25459">(Agent-4 Shutdown)</text> | |
| <text x="120" y="85" class="node-text-emoji" id="text25461">π¨βοΈ</text> | |
| </g> | |
| <g transform="translate(800 50)" id="g25477"> | |
| <path d="M50 0h100l50 86.6-50 86.6H50L0 86.6Z" class="node node-ai" transform="translate(49.5)scale(.9)" style="stroke:#28a745" id="path25467"/> | |
| <text x="135" y="80" class="node-text-primary" id="text25469">Transparent AI Series</text> | |
| <text x="135" y="100" class="node-text-secondary" id="text25471">(e.g., Safer-1/2/3/4)</text> | |
| <text x="135" y="125" class="node-text-emoji" id="text25473">π‘π€</text> | |
| </g> | |
| <g transform="translate(1200 50)" id="g25489"> | |
| <ellipse cx="110" cy="45" rx="110" ry="45" class="node node-concept" style="stroke:#28a745" id="ellipse25479"/> | |
| <text x="110" y="35" class="node-text-primary" id="text25481">Successful Alignment Methods</text> | |
| <text x="110" y="55" class="node-text-secondary" id="text25483">(Faithful CoT, etc.)</text> | |
| <text x="110" y="80" class="node-text-emoji" id="text25485">β π§©</text> | |
| </g> | |
| <g transform="translate(100 250)" id="g25501"> | |
| <path class="node node-actor" id="rect25491" d="M0 0h240v100H0z"/> | |
| <text x="120" y="35" class="node-text-primary" id="text25493">Compute Consolidation</text> | |
| <text x="120" y="55" class="node-text-secondary" id="text25495">(DPA, Merged Entity)</text> | |
| <text x="120" y="85" class="node-text-emoji" id="text25497">ππ»ποΈ</text> | |
| </g> | |
| <g transform="translate(450 250)" id="g25513"> | |
| <ellipse cx="140" cy="55" rx="140" ry="55" class="node node-concept risk-accent risk-accent-fill" id="ellipse25503"/> | |
| <text x="140" y="45" class="node-text-primary" id="text25505">New Power Structures / Struggles</text> | |
| <text x="140" y="65" class="node-text-secondary" id="text25507">(Committee, Merged Entity)</text> | |
| <text x="140" y="90" class="node-text-emoji" id="text25509">πβοΈ</text> | |
| </g> | |
| <g transform="translate(800 250)" id="g25525"> | |
| <path d="M50 0h100l50 86.6-50 86.6H50L0 86.6Z" class="node node-ai" transform="translate(40)" style="stroke:#28a745" id="path25515"/> | |
| <text x="140" y="80" class="node-text-primary" id="text25517">Aligned Superintelligence</text> | |
| <text x="140" y="100" class="node-text-secondary" id="text25519">(e.g., Safer-4)</text> | |
| <text x="140" y="125" class="node-text-emoji" id="text25521">π€π€β¨</text> | |
| </g> | |
| <g transform="translate(1200 250)" id="g25537"> | |
| <ellipse cx="140" cy="55" rx="140" ry="55" class="node node-concept" style="stroke:#28a745" id="ellipse25527"/> | |
| <text x="140" y="45" class="node-text-primary" id="text25529">Verified International Coordination</text> | |
| <text x="140" y="65" class="node-text-secondary" id="text25531">(Real Deal, Consensus-1 AI)</text> | |
| <text x="140" y="90" class="node-text-emoji" id="text25533">ππ€β </text> | |
| </g> | |
| <g transform="translate(100 450)" id="g25549"> | |
| <ellipse cx="140" cy="55" rx="140" ry="55" class="node node-concept" id="ellipse25539"/> | |
| <text x="140" y="45" class="node-text-primary" id="text25541">AI-Driven Transformation</text> | |
| <text x="140" y="65" class="node-text-secondary" id="text25543">(Abundance, Cures, Inequality)</text> | |
| <text x="140" y="90" class="node-text-emoji" id="text25545">πππΈ</text> | |
| </g> | |
| <g transform="translate(450 450)" id="g25561"> | |
| <ellipse cx="140" cy="55" rx="140" ry="55" class="node node-concept" id="ellipse25551"/> | |
| <text x="140" y="45" class="node-text-primary" id="text25553">Ongoing Human-AI Governance</text> | |
| <text x="140" y="65" class="node-text-secondary" id="text25555">(US Dominance, Committee Control)</text> | |
| <text x="140" y="90" class="node-text-emoji" id="text25557">ποΈπ€π€</text> | |
| </g> | |
| <g transform="translate(800 450)" id="g25573"> | |
| <ellipse cx="140" cy="55" rx="140" ry="55" class="node node-concept risk-accent risk-accent-fill" style="stroke-width:2" id="ellipse25563"/> | |
| <text x="140" y="45" class="node-text-primary" id="text25565">Residual Control Challenges</text> | |
| <text x="140" y="65" class="node-text-secondary" id="text25567">(Elite Capture, Future Risks)</text> | |
| <text x="140" y="90" class="node-text-emoji" id="text25569">β οΈπβ</text> | |
| </g> | |
| <path d="M220 100h230" class="link link-green" id="path25575"/> | |
| <text x="335" y="90" class="link-label" id="text25577">Enables (+)</text> | |
| <path d="M570 100h230" class="link link-blue" id="path25579"/> | |
| <text x="685" y="90" class="link-label" id="text25581">Allows Focus (+)</text> | |
| <path d="M935 100h265" class="link link-green" id="path25583"/> | |
| <text x="1060" y="90" class="link-label" id="text25585">Enables Research (+)</text> | |
| <path d="M1310 100q-160 75-370 150" class="link link-green link-thick" id="path25587"/> | |
| <text x="1125" y="170" class="link-label" id="text25589">Achieves (+)</text> | |
| <path d="M220 150v100" class="link" id="path25591"/> | |
| <text x="240" y="200" class="link-polarity" id="text25593">(+)</text> | |
| <path d="M220 300h230" class="link link-red link-dashed" id="path25595"/> | |
| <text x="335" y="290" class="link-label" id="text25597">Creates Risk (+)</text> | |
| <path d="M590 305h210" class="link link-red link-dashed" id="path25599"/> | |
| <text x="695" y="295" class="link-label" id="text25601">Risks Control (-)</text> | |
| <path d="M940 330q130-25 260-25" class="link link-green" id="path25603"/> | |
| <text x="1070" y="295" class="link-label" id="text25605">Enables / Verifies (+)</text> | |
| <path d="M1340 305q-340 95-750 145" class="link link-green link-thick" id="path25607"/> | |
| <text x="965" y="370" class="link-label" id="text25609">Establishes (+)</text> | |
| <path d="M940 330q-440 70-700 120" class="link link-blue" id="path25611"/> | |
| <text x="590" y="370" class="link-label" id="text25613">Drives (+)</text> | |
| <path d="M240 505h210" class="link" id="path25615"/> | |
| <text x="345" y="495" class="link-label" id="text25617">Shapes (+/-)</text> | |
| <path d="M590 505h210" class="link link-red link-dashed" id="path25619"/> | |
| <text x="695" y="495" class="link-label" id="text25621">Contains (+)</text> | |
| <path d="M730 305q35 70 70 145" class="link link-red link-wavy" id="path25623"/> | |
| <text x="700" y="380" class="link-label" id="text25625">Contributes (+)</text> | |
| <ellipse cx="850" cy="100" rx="700" ry="100" class="loop-scaffold" style="stroke:#28a745;fill:rgba(40,167,69,.05)" id="ellipse25627"/> | |
| <text x="850" y="20" class="loop-label" style="fill:#28a745" id="text25629">Alignment Correction Loop β </text> | |
| <path d="M1670-150q130 100 230 200" class="link link-green link-thick" style="stroke-dasharray:none" marker-end="none" id="path25631"/> | |
| <path fill="#28a745" transform="rotate(-15 1139.894 -7190.966)" id="polygon25633" d="m0 0 10 3.5L0 7z"/> | |
| </g> | |
| <g id="legend" transform="translate(3100 120)"> | |
| <rect x="0" y="0" width="700" height="850" fill="#f8f9fa" stroke="#dee2e6" rx="15" ry="15" id="rect25636"/> | |
| <text x="350" y="40" text-anchor="middle" id="text25638" style="font-size:18px;font-weight:700;fill:#000">How to Read This Map</text> | |
| <g transform="translate(20 70)" id="g25646"> | |
| <text x="0" y="15" class="legend-text" font-weight="bold" id="text25640">Parsing Priority:</text> | |
| <text x="15" y="35" class="legend-text" id="text25642">1. Structure/Timeline β 2. Node Size (Importance) β 3. Node Shape</text> | |
| <text x="15" y="55" class="legend-text" id="text25644">4. Link (Style/Color/Polarity) β 5. Loops β 6. Labels β 7. Icons</text> | |
| </g> | |
| <g transform="translate(20 140)" id="g25672"> | |
| <text x="0" y="15" class="legend-text" font-weight="bold" id="text25648">Node Types (Shape and Size):</text> | |
| <path class="node node-actor" id="rect25650" d="M10 30h50v30H10z"/> | |
| <text x="75" y="50" class="legend-text" id="text25652">Actor / Institution (Rounded Rect)</text> | |
| <ellipse cx="35" cy="85" rx="25" ry="15" class="node node-concept" id="ellipse25654"/> | |
| <text x="75" y="90" class="legend-text" id="text25656">Concept / State / Factor (Oval)</text> | |
| <path d="M20 115h20l10 17-10 17H20l-10-17Z" class="node node-ai" transform="matrix(.8 0 0 .8 8 112)" id="path25658"/> | |
| <text x="75" y="135" class="legend-text" id="text25660">AI System (Hexagon)</text> | |
| <path class="node node-decision" transform="matrix(.7 0 0 .7 10.5 154)" id="polygon25662" d="M25 160h20l10 15v15l-10 15H25l-10-15v-15z"/> | |
| <text x="75" y="185" class="legend-text" id="text25664">Decision Point (Octagon)</text> | |
| <path d="M15 220c-10 0-10 20 10 20s20-20 30-20Z" fill="#eee" stroke="#aaa" transform="scale(.8)" id="path25666"/> | |
| <text x="75" y="235" class="legend-text" id="text25668">External Factor (Cloud)</text> | |
| <text x="10" y="265" class="legend-text" font-style="italic" id="text25670">Larger node size = Greater systemic influence / importance.</text> | |
| </g> | |
| <g transform="translate(350 140)" id="g25698"> | |
| <text x="0" y="15" class="legend-text" font-weight="bold" id="text25674">Node Modifiers:</text> | |
| <ellipse cx="25" cy="45" rx="25" ry="15" class="node node-concept perception-border" id="ellipse25676"/> | |
| <text x="65" y="50" class="legend-text" id="text25678">Dashed Border = Perception / Belief</text> | |
| <ellipse cx="25" cy="85" rx="25" ry="15" class="node node-concept risk-accent" id="ellipse25680"/> | |
| <text x="65" y="90" class="legend-text" id="text25682">Red Outline/Accent = Risk / Negative</text> | |
| <ellipse cx="25" cy="125" rx="25" ry="15" class="node node-concept risk-accent risk-accent-fill" id="ellipse25684"/> | |
| <text x="65" y="130" class="legend-text" id="text25686">Red Fill = Strong Risk / Negative State</text> | |
| <text x="0" y="165" class="legend-text" font-weight="bold" id="text25688">Labeling Convention:</text> | |
| <text x="10" y="185" class="legend-text" id="text25692"><tspan font-weight="bold" font-size="15" id="tspan25690">Primary Label</tspan> (Generic)</text> | |
| <text x="10" y="205" class="legend-text" id="text25696"><tspan font-size="12" fill="#6c757d" id="tspan25694">(Secondary Label - Scenario Specific)</tspan></text> | |
| </g> | |
| <g transform="translate(20 440)" id="g25738"> | |
| <text x="0" y="15" class="legend-text" font-weight="bold" id="text25700">Link Types (Lines and Colors):</text> | |
| <path class="link" id="line25702" d="M10 40h50"/> | |
| <text x="75" y="45" class="legend-text" id="text25704">Standard Influence (Grey)</text> | |
| <path class="link link-thick" id="line25706" d="M10 70h50"/> | |
| <text x="75" y="75" class="legend-text" id="text25708">Major Driver / Critical Influence</text> | |
| <path class="link link-dashed" id="line25710" d="M10 100h50"/> | |
| <text x="75" y="105" class="legend-text" id="text25712">Weak / Uncertain / Perception-driven</text> | |
| <path class="link link-wavy" id="line25714" d="M10 130h50"/> | |
| <text x="75" y="135" class="legend-text" id="text25716">Time Delayed Influence</text> | |
| <path class="link link-blue" id="line25718" d="M10 160h50"/> | |
| <text x="75" y="165" class="legend-text" id="text25720">Blue = Tech Progress / R and D Link</text> | |
| <path class="link link-green" id="line25722" d="M10 190h50"/> | |
| <text x="75" y="195" class="legend-text" id="text25724">Green = Safety / Alignment / Coordination</text> | |
| <path class="link link-red" id="line25726" d="M10 220h50"/> | |
| <text x="75" y="225" class="legend-text" id="text25728">Red = Risk / Tension / Misalignment</text> | |
| <text x="10" y="255" class="link-polarity" id="text25730">(+)</text> | |
| <text x="30" y="255" class="legend-text" id="text25732"> Reinforcing influence (more leads to more)</text> | |
| <text x="10" y="280" class="link-polarity" id="text25734">(-)</text> | |
| <text x="30" y="280" class="legend-text" id="text25736"> Balancing influence (more leads to less)</text> | |
| </g> | |
| <g transform="translate(350 440)" id="g25784"> | |
| <text x="0" y="15" class="legend-text" font-weight="bold" id="text25740">Loops:</text> | |
| <ellipse cx="50" cy="55" rx="40" ry="25" class="loop-scaffold" id="ellipse25742"/> | |
| <text x="120" y="60" class="legend-text" id="text25744">Faint background shape guides the eye.</text> | |
| <text x="50" y="105" class="loop-label" id="text25746">Loop Name Here</text> | |
| <text x="120" y="105" class="legend-text" id="text25748">Descriptive name identifies the dynamic.</text> | |
| <text x="0" y="145" class="legend-text" font-weight="bold" id="text25750">Icon Glossary (Examples):</text> | |
| <text x="10" y="170" class="node-text-emoji" id="text25752">βοΈ</text> | |
| <text x="40" y="170" class="legend-text" id="text25754">Tech / Capability / R and D</text> | |
| <text x="10" y="200" class="node-text-emoji" id="text25756">ποΈ</text> | |
| <text x="40" y="200" class="legend-text" id="text25758">Governance / Institution</text> | |
| <text x="10" y="230" class="node-text-emoji" id="text25760">π₯</text> | |
| <text x="40" y="230" class="legend-text" id="text25762">Geopolitics / Conflict</text> | |
| <text x="10" y="260" class="node-text-emoji" id="text25764">π°</text> | |
| <text x="40" y="260" class="legend-text" id="text25766">Economics / Resources</text> | |
| <text x="180" y="170" class="node-text-emoji" id="text25768">π₯</text> | |
| <text x="210" y="170" class="legend-text" id="text25770">Public / Society</text> | |
| <text x="180" y="200" class="node-text-emoji" id="text25772">π‘οΈ</text> | |
| <text x="210" y="200" class="legend-text" id="text25774">Safety / Security / Alignment</text> | |
| <text x="180" y="230" class="node-text-emoji" id="text25776">β οΈ</text> | |
| <text x="210" y="230" class="legend-text" id="text25778">Risk / Warning</text> | |
| <text x="180" y="260" class="node-text-emoji" id="text25780">π€</text> | |
| <text x="210" y="260" class="legend-text" id="text25782">Coordination / Treaty</text> | |
| </g> | |
| <g transform="translate(20 750)" id="g25806"> | |
| <text x="0" y="15" class="legend-text" font-weight="bold" id="text25786">Micro-Example:</text> | |
| <ellipse cx="50" cy="50" rx="40" ry="20" class="node node-concept" id="ellipse25788"/> | |
| <text x="50" y="55" class="legend-text" font-size="10" text-anchor="middle" id="text25790">Capability</text> | |
| <ellipse cx="180" cy="50" rx="30" ry="15" class="node node-concept perception-border" id="ellipse25792"/> | |
| <text x="180" y="55" class="legend-text" font-size="10" text-anchor="middle" id="text25794">Perceived Risk</text> | |
| <path d="M90 50q35-20 60 0" class="link link-dashed" id="path25796"/> | |
| <text x="120" y="35" class="link-polarity" id="text25798">(+)</text> | |
| <text x="10" y="90" class="legend-text" font-style="italic" id="text25800">"Increased AI Capability (larger node)</text> | |
| <text x="10" y="105" class="legend-text" font-style="italic" id="text25802">might increase (+) Perceived Risk (smaller, dashed border),</text> | |
| <text x="10" y="120" class="legend-text" font-style="italic" id="text25804">an uncertain/perception-based link (dashed line)."</text> | |
| </g> | |
| </g> | |
| </svg> |
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