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September 22, 2023 04:58
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| This is a strategy intended to be executed at around 8AM ET through the first | |
| hour of trading (10:30AM ET). It's a refinement of my previous approach aimed | |
| at generating automated buy signals at market open. Note that I didn't actually | |
| write the machine learning model for sentiment analysis, it's a black box to me, | |
| but it performed very well on the training dataset. I'm sure there are better | |
| proprietary sentiment models floating around. | |
| 1. Find after hours gappers, big movers from previous close to current open | |
| 2. Only select gappers priced from $10-20 with a float of 1M+ shares | |
| 3. The top 50 gapping symbols form the watch list for this period | |
| 4. Use the newsfilter.io streaming API to filter for news on these symbols | |
| 5. Scrape source URL (separate async queue) to perform sentiment analysis | |
| 6. Average of sentiment over 5+ articles forms strong signal for scalp entry | |
| 7. Consider 20% equity stake on stop 5 gappers with 75+% positive sentiment | |
| 8. Stop loss and take profit at 2:1 ratio, risking $2500 to make $5000 | |
| A single trade entry and exit is a somewhat naive approach, as it doesn't give | |
| any chance to catch heroic runs. Selling 25% of the position at 2:1 target | |
| price is probably preferable here. The Alpaca bracket order API doesn't seem to | |
| facilitate this in one request, so it'd probably require selling the whole | |
| position and buying back with the proceeds. This would get a little complex in | |
| terms of the implementation, probably recursing into the same code path to just | |
| place new bracket orders on the way up with some decay model. | |
| Also, this approach will require running on some cloud provider both to fetch | |
| the articles and perform the sentiment inference. AWS Data Pipeline? | |
| References: | |
| https://newsfilter.io/api-plans | |
| https://developers.newsfilter.io/ | |
| https://huggingface.co/mrm8488/distilroberta-finetuned-financial-news-sentiment-analysis/tree/main | |
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