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Chinese Cars on Dutch Roads - Comprehensive Report

Chinese Cars on Dutch Roads - Comprehensive Report

Data Source: RDW Open Data - Gekentekende voertuigen (12GB dataset)
Analysis Date: January 26, 2026
Total Vehicles Analyzed: 10,692,298 passenger cars


Executive Summary

Chinese automotive brands have achieved significant market penetration in the Netherlands, reaching 11% market share in 2024 when including Chinese-owned Western brands (Volvo, Polestar, MG, Smart, Lotus). Pure Chinese brands alone grew from 0.08% in 2020 to 3.41% in 2025.

Key Numbers:

  • Total Chinese brand cars (all-time): ~573,000 vehicles
  • Pure Chinese brands (2020-2025): ~53,000 vehicles
  • Chinese-owned Western brands (2020-2025): ~193,000 vehicles

1. All Chinese Brands Identified

Chinese-Owned Western Brands

Brand Owner Total (2020-2026)
VOLVO Geely 152,776
LYNK&CO Geely 32,377
MG SAIC 19,752
POLESTAR Geely/Volvo 15,788
SMART Geely JV 2,785
LOTUS Geely 325
BORGWARD Foton (revived) 148

Pure Chinese Brands

Brand Parent Total (2020-2026)
BYD BYD 9,947
XPENG XPeng 3,111
ZEEKR Geely 2,752
LEAPMOTOR Leapmotor 1,420
NIO NIO 852
AIWAYS Aiways 811
DONGFENG Dongfeng 659
JAECOO Chery 629
OMODA Chery 194
SERES Seres 196
FAW FAW 154
DFSK Dongfeng 143
VOYAH Dongfeng 87
JAC JAC 28
MAXUS SAIC 22
CHERY Chery 18
Others Various <20 each

2. Year-by-Year Registrations (2020-2026)

Brand 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026* Total
VOLVO 26,911 27,996 19,716 20,451 34,921 21,815 966 152,776
LYNK&CO 0 4,576 13,202 9,205 1,929 3,322 143 32,377
MG 2,160 1,506 2,429 6,350 2,542 4,570 195 19,752
POLESTAR 3,186 2,834 2,459 2,097 2,152 3,016 44 15,788
BYD 0 3 289 1,334 3,390 4,746 185 9,947
XPENG 0 8 10 342 1,301 1,410 40 3,111
SMART 334 331 183 229 979 701 28 2,785
ZEEKR 0 0 0 98 966 1,654 34 2,752
LEAPMOTOR 0 0 0 0 59 1,289 72 1,420
NIO 0 0 62 262 261 255 12 852
AIWAYS 366 75 17 180 157 16 0 811
DONGFENG 0 0 0 0 100 549 10 659
JAECOO 0 0 0 0 0 496 133 629
LOTUS 4 9 6 95 161 47 3 325
OMODA 0 0 0 0 0 130 64 194

*2026 data is partial (January only)


3. Market Share Analysis

All Chinese Brands (incl. Chinese-owned Western)

Year Total Market Chinese Share %
2020 517,213 32,985 6.38%
2021 515,368 37,398 7.26%
2022 457,793 38,448 8.40%
2023 458,065 40,734 8.89%
2024 445,501 49,018 11.00%
2025 415,248 44,313 10.67%

Pure Chinese Brands Only

Year Total Market Pure Chinese Share %
2020 517,213 390 0.08%
2021 515,368 4,722 0.92%
2022 457,793 13,655 2.98%
2023 458,065 11,512 2.51%
2024 445,501 8,263 1.85%
2025 415,248 14,164 3.41%

4. Top 25 Best-Selling Models (2022-2026)

Rank Brand Model Count
1 VOLVO XC40 28,934
2 LYNK&CO LYNK & CO 01 25,230
3 VOLVO XC60 17,198
4 VOLVO EX30 16,424
5 VOLVO V60 11,485
6 POLESTAR POLESTAR 2 7,694
7 VOLVO EX40 7,128
8 VOLVO XC90 6,595
9 MG MG4 ELECTRIC 5,073
10 VOLVO C40 4,158
11 MG MG ZS EV 3,703
12 BYD ATTO 3 3,375
13 MG MG5 ELECTRIC 2,892
14 BYD BYD SEAL U DM-I 2,344
15 XPENG G6 1,547
16 POLESTAR POLESTAR 4 1,497
17 XPENG G9 1,368
18 MG MG3 HYBRID+ 1,119
19 BYD BYD SEAL U 1,093
20 ZEEKR 001 1,082
21 SMART #1 937
22 BYD BYD SEAL 928
23 ZEEKR 7X 912
24 MG MG EHS PLUG-IN HYBRID 863
25 BYD BYD DOLPHIN 764

5. Price Positioning (2023-2026)

Brand Avg Price (EUR) Median (EUR) Count
LOTUS 133,784 134,350 305
NIO 77,012 78,471 790
VOYAH 61,335 60,995 87
VOLVO 61,145 56,520 78,068
POLESTAR 58,869 55,150 7,307
XPENG 58,766 53,980 3,092
ZEEKR 57,343 59,290 2,751
OMODA 44,976 52,720 193
LYNK&CO 44,568 44,882 14,596
SMART 44,486 44,005 1,936
AIWAYS 43,897 43,935 353
BYD 41,362 39,710 9,655
SERES 41,129 37,614 156
JAECOO 38,640 38,800 626
MG 36,566 37,140 13,653
LEAPMOTOR 27,973 20,268 1,420
DONGFENG 23,875 22,990 659

Segmentation:

  • Premium (>€70k): Lotus, NIO
  • Upper-mid (€55-70k): Volvo, Polestar, XPeng, Zeekr, Voyah
  • Mid-market (€40-55k): Lynk&Co, Smart, Aiways, BYD, Omoda
  • Value (€25-40k): MG, Jaecoo, Seres
  • Budget (<€30k): Leapmotor, Dongfeng

6. Color Distribution (2022-2026)

Color Count Share
ZWART (Black) 57,161 32.9%
GRIJS (Grey) 52,679 30.3%
BLAUW (Blue) 32,142 18.5%
WIT (White) 18,141 10.4%
GROEN (Green) 8,654 5.0%
ROOD (Red) 2,236 1.3%
BRUIN (Brown) 1,520 0.9%
ORANJE (Orange) 1,310 0.8%

7. Key Insights

Growth Trends

  1. BYD is the fastest-growing pure Chinese brand: 3 cars in 2021 → 4,746 in 2025
  2. ZEEKR launched 2023 and quickly reached 1,654 registrations in 2025
  3. LEAPMOTOR had explosive growth in 2025 (1,289 vs 59 in 2024)
  4. JAECOO and OMODA (Chery sub-brands) entered market in 2025

Market Dynamics

  • Lynk&Co peaked in 2022 (13,202) with their subscription model, then declined
  • Volvo remains dominant Chinese-owned brand with consistent ~20-35k/year
  • MG showing renewed growth trajectory (4,570 in 2025)
  • Aiways appears to be declining (811 total, mostly 2020)

Price Competition

  • Chinese brands cover all segments from budget (Leapmotor T03: ~€20k) to luxury (Lotus: ~€134k)
  • Most pure Chinese EVs compete in €35-60k segment
  • BYD average €41k positions them as affordable premium

New Entrants to Watch (2025-2026)

  • JAECOO: 629 registrations already
  • OMODA: 194 registrations
  • DONGFENG Box: 655 registrations (affordable EV)
  • VOYAH: Growing premium Dongfeng EV brand

8. Growth Rates (2024 → 2025)

Brand 2024 2025 Growth
LEAPMOTOR 59 1,289 +2,085%
DONGFENG 100 549 +449%
MG 2,542 4,570 +80%
LYNK&CO 1,929 3,322 +72%
ZEEKR 966 1,654 +71%
POLESTAR 2,152 3,016 +40%
BYD 3,390 4,746 +40%
XPENG 1,301 1,410 +8%
VOLVO 34,921 21,815 -38%

9. Comparison with Major Non-Chinese Brands (2025)

Rank Brand 2025 Registrations
1 KIA 38,419
2 VOLKSWAGEN 34,800
3 TOYOTA 30,150
4 SKODA 28,642
5 RENAULT 26,702
6 BMW 24,112
7 VOLVO (Chinese) 21,815
8 HYUNDAI 18,553
9 AUDI 18,384
10 FORD 16,860
11 TESLA 16,732
12 PEUGEOT 15,889
13 MERCEDES-BENZ 15,292
... ... ...
- BYD 4,746
- MG 4,570
- LYNK&CO 3,322
- ZEEKR 1,654
- XPENG 1,410
- LEAPMOTOR 1,289

Volvo (Chinese-owned) ranks #7 overall in the Dutch market for 2025.


10. Data Quality Analysis

Null Values by Column

Column Null Count % of Total
Merk (Brand) 0 0.00%
Voertuigsoort (Type) 0 0.00%
Datum eerste toelating (Date) 36,282 0.22%
Catalogusprijs (Price) 6,705,903 40.13%
Eerste kleur (Color) 0 0.00%

Null Dates by Chinese Brand

Brand Null Dates Total % Null
JAECOO 230 859 26.8%
OMODA 54 248 21.8%
LEAPMOTOR 59 1,479 4.0%
ZEEKR 64 2,816 2.3%
XPENG 50 3,161 1.6%
BYD 101 10,070 1.0%
Others <1% - -

Note: JAECOO and OMODA have high null date rates (~22-27%), likely because they are very new brands (launched 2025) and registrations may still be pending processing. The yearly breakdown underreports these brands by this percentage.

Null Prices by Chinese Brand

Brand % Null Prices Note
BORGWARD 100% All 148 cars missing price
LOTUS 66% High-value sports cars
MG 35% Older registrations
SMART 26% Older registrations
VOLVO 19% Older registrations
BYD, NIO, XPENG, etc. ~0% Good data quality

Potentially Overlooked Brands (Minimal Impact)

Brand Count Note
FAW-VOLKSWAGEN 5 Chinese JV - VW cars made in China
SKYWELL 2 Chinese EV brand
WM MOTOR 1 Weltmeister Chinese EV
JINGDEZHEN CHANGHE 2 Changhe (BAIC subsidiary)
LANDWIND variants 2 JMC LANDWIND, LANDWIND JIANGLING

Total missed: 13 cars (0.002% impact) - Negligible effect on analysis.


Methodology

  • Data loaded using Polars lazy evaluation for 12GB CSV
  • Brand discovery via blacklist approach (filtering out known non-Chinese brands)
  • Chinese brands include both pure Chinese and Chinese-owned Western brands
  • Years extracted from Datum eerste toelating (YYYYMMDD integer format)
  • Prices parsed from Dutch format (comma as thousands separator)
  • Only passenger cars (Voertuigsoort == "Personenauto") included
  • Year-by-year figures exclude records with null registration dates
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